NCAA Tournament March Madness

#117 UC Santa Barbara

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Projection: likely out

UC Santa Barbara’s profile reads like a team on the outside because its résumé has flashes of quality but also a string of damaging results that selection committees care about. The Gauchos have shown they can win tough conference games, with road victories at Long Beach State and UC San Diego and an emphatic win over Cal State Bakersfield, and they have a good home win over UC Irvine, yet those moments are offset by poor showings away from home and several bad losses. Trips to Nevada and a neutral-site loss to Utah Valley stand out as missed opportunities, and losses at Cal State Fullerton, Cal State Northridge and defeats to UC Davis at home and on the road undercut the résumé’s credibility. The remaining conference slate includes a cluster of winnable home games and a few true road tests, so UCSB can still improve its standing by protecting its court and stealing a road result, but until it does the mix of decent wins and damaging losses keeps it on the outside looking in.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8San Jose St256W85-74
11/11@CS Sacramento252W92-87
11/17Loy Marymount152L78-74
11/22@Nevada56L77-64
11/28(N)Lehigh300W72-70
11/29(N)Seattle131W74-71
12/4Long Beach St240W84-77
12/6CS Bakersfield316W109-84
12/13(N)Utah Valley86L68-53
12/17@WI Green Bay218L67-64
12/22Portland198W79-61
1/1@CS Fullerton171L95-84
1/3@CS Northridge178L74-65
1/8UC Davis156L93-86
1/15@CS Bakersfield316W75-69
1/17Hawaii91W77-62
1/22Cal Poly233W107-67
1/24@Long Beach St240W74-71
1/29@UC San Diego113W62-48
1/31CS Fullerton171W83-69
2/5@UC Davis156L85-75
2/7UC Irvine119W84-79
2/12@UC Riverside277W76-68
2/14@Cal Poly23365%
2/19CS Northridge17874%
2/22@Hawaii9130%
2/26UC Riverside27788%
2/28@UC Irvine11939%
3/7UC San Diego11360%